At the Sprouts community café in Stockton in the northeast of England, voters have one pressing issue on their minds: the cost of living
and voters' struggles, rather than the political noise around recent Conservative chaos, that Labour believes will hurt the Tories when millions of voters across England go to the polls in this week's local elections."We're going to the polls and food price inflation is 19.1%, wider inflation at 12%. Voters want the government to deliver on this but Sunak's not addressing those problems, and that's why I think they'll do badly.
This then a box office set of local elections that will provide us with the largest test of public opinion before the next general election and as such holds huge significance.
Anything less will be a blow: 250 net gains would mean disappointing progress in the crucial"Red Wall"; while lower than that and Sir Keir would be in reverse at this critical staging post. Talk to those in Conservative Campaign Headquarters, and they agree it's going to be a tough night - something party insiders pin on politics rather than policy.
Professor Will Jennings, Sky News election analyst, points out though historical data shows that governing parties tend to do better at general elections than in the preceding local elections as voters"swing-back" to the government after a period of mid-term blues.
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