As Iran threatens to attack Israel over the assassination of a Hamas leader in the Iranian capital, its long-vaunted missile program offers one of the few ways for Tehran to strike back directly. But questions loom over just how much of a danger it poses.
FILE— In this April 16, 2024, file photo, Israel i military spokesperson, Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, display to the media one of the Iran ian ballistic missiles Israel intercepted, in Julis army base, southern Israel . FILE— In this April 16, 2024, file photo, Israel i military deputy head of the IDF International press department, first lieutenant Masha Michelson, display to the media one of the Iran ian ballistic missiles Israel intercepted over, in Julis army base, southern Israel .
The April assault showed “some ability to strike Israel,” said Sam Lair, a research associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies who worked on the analysis. But “if I were supreme leader, I would probably be a little disappointed.”Iran’s president says his country needs more than $100 billion in foreign investmentIf Iranian missiles are not able to hit targets precisely “that recasts their role,” Lair added.
Grainy footage later released through pro-Iranian military social media accounts showed missiles thundering off truck-based mobile launchers. Iran’s bomb-carrying Shahed drones,, leaped off metal stands, their engines whirring like lawnmowers through the night sky. Some were launched by pickup trucks racing down runways.
The attack “was very clearly not something symbolic and not something trying to avoid damage,” said Fabian Hinz, a missile expert and research fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies who studies Iran. It was “a major attempt to overcome Israeli defenses.” Based on Iran’s focus on the F-35I, the James Martin analysts assumed the likely target point for the Iranian fire would be a cluster of aircraft hangars. The position also serves as a near-central point within the Nevatim base itself.
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