Democrats clearly outperformed the fundamentals, their own expectations, and everyone else’s. It remains to be seen if Republicans will accept that.
is in keeping with grand recent Republican tradition. Unlike in 2020, though, the GOP may still yet pull this one out.still favored to retake the House majority. Control of the Senate, too, is up in the air, with theAdvertisementThe GOP wave—to the shock of Democrats predisposed to expect the worst, and Republicans who expected to surf the favorable fundamentals—did not materialize.
As more states rolled in, it was clear Republicans would not have the night of their dreams. Democrats kept two of the three Virginia House seats they were monitoring as potential defections in a red wave. They held a crucial Rhode Island House seat that Republicans had targeted. Democrats won five out of Ohio’s fifteen districts, when they feared they might only win two under Republicans’ gerrymandered map.
By the time McCarthy spoke to say that Republicans would win, in fact, there was still a chance that Nancy Pelosi might retain the speaker’s gavel.Still, Republicans remained the slim favorites. Democrats’ weakest performance on the East Coast appeared to be in New York, where Republicans areafter state courts tossed New York Democrats’ proposed gerrymander early in the year. Chief among those threatened Democrats is Rep.
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