Are markets getting more worried about a recession? Invesco says a Fed pivot is coming.

The Federal Reserve's rate hikes are kicking in by slowing growth and cooling inflation, making a recession a bigger source of a worry, says Invesco.

The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hikes are kicking in by slowing growth and cooling inflation, but also making a recession more of a threat, says Rob Waldner, Invesco’s chief fixed-income strategist and head of macro research.

A key to the thinking at Invesco is that rising real yields look poised to soon eclipse U.S. growth, as inflation falls :

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