OPINION | Angola’s elections a close contest between Unita and ruling MPLA: In its poll, Angobarometro put Unita’s leader, Adalberto Costa Júnior, far ahead of MPLA leader João Lourenço while Afrobarometer put MPLA slightly ahead of Unita.
In 2017, the incumbent MPLA — in power since independence from Portugal in 1975 — won the elections with a 61% majority. Pundits are increasingly expressing the view that the main opposition party, Unita, is proving more formidable than in past elections. But it has been refused permission to register on the ballot with two other minority parties as a coalition. Unita was run by Jonas Savimbi from 1976 until his death in 2002.
Despite promises to stop corruption and grow the economy, Lourenço has faced an uphill battle, having inherited a fiscal cliff and an economy in recession. Angola’s 2021 debt to GDP ratio was at This brinkmanship, which seems unlikely to end soon , has pushed the international oil price to record levels last seen in late 2014. The Economist Intelligence Unit has forecast Brent Crude to close out at about $107/b by the end of 2022, declining to $69 by 2026. Despite the price drop, the EIU foresees economic growth of up to 5.1% by 2026 on the back of increased oil production to 1.4 million barrels a day and a slightly more diversified economy.
Third, the CNE has again picked a Spanish company, the Indra Group, to manage the vote-counting and tallying process. This company has run all of Angola’s previous post-2002 elections and has been accused of fraud by the opposition. In 2017, for instance, Unita called for mass protests over the awarding of the tender, in secret, by the electoral board to this company.
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Angola’s elections a close contest between Unita and ruling MPLAOPINION | Angola’s elections a close contest between Unita and ruling MPLA - In its poll, Angobarometro put Unita’s leader, Adalberto Costa Júnior, far ahead of MPLA leader João Lourenço while Afrobarometer put MPLA slightly ahead of Unita.
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Angolan Elections 2022 - What About the Economy?Analysis - Angola will hold a general election on August 24th to elect both the country's President and its parliament, the National Assembly. In all there are eight parties contesting the election, but no-one has any doubt that only one of them, the main opposition party UNITA, can seriously challenge the MPLA, which has ruled Angola since Independence from Portugal in November 1975. The ballot paper offers voters a choice out of all eight parties, in an order determined by lottery, and each party has a list of cand
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Angola’s elections a close contest between Unita and ruling MPLAOPINION | Angola’s elections a close contest between Unita and ruling MPLA - In its poll, Angobarometro put Unita’s leader, Adalberto Costa Júnior, far ahead of MPLA leader João Lourenço while Afrobarometer put MPLA slightly ahead of Unita.
Read more »
Angolan Elections 2022 - What About the Economy?Analysis - Angola will hold a general election on August 24th to elect both the country's President and its parliament, the National Assembly. In all there are eight parties contesting the election, but no-one has any doubt that only one of them, the main opposition party UNITA, can seriously challenge the MPLA, which has ruled Angola since Independence from Portugal in November 1975. The ballot paper offers voters a choice out of all eight parties, in an order determined by lottery, and each party has a list of cand
Read more »
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