Jack Flaherty is getting better as the season goes on in certain departments, making the Cardinals a sneaky-good play today, at least early on. Find out why our MLB betting picks are fading Griffin Canning and the Angels.
’s numbers don’t seem all that great on the surface. Sure, his ERA is still well under four runs, but his walk rate is at an unsightly 15.3% a season after it was at 13.2%. Last year his expected ERA was 4.94, and this year it’s at 5.16.
This may be a closed case for most bettors, but a deeper dive into Flaherty’s game log would seem to indicate things are trending upward. And while you may argue that’s a small sample, I’d counter with the fact that he’s pitched just 68 innings over the last two seasons. All we know with this guy is small samples.
Flaherty started out the year by walking 13 batters in 10 innings, but hasn’t issued more than two free passes in his last two starts. While he’s now given up exactly one homer in each of his last four, in those last two outings he’s struck out 16 in 10 2/3 innings. What does it all mean? Well, I think the 27-year-old is trending in the right direction by improving his walk and strikeout numbers. That’s going to eventually cause his xERA to work its way down, and with just a .228 xBA against, we could very well be looking at a good pitcher.to be winning after five.
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