North Korea is unlikely to be deterred from its quest to place cargoes in space, analysts said.
The secretive country considers its space and military rocket programmes a sovereign right, and analysts say spy satellites are crucial to improving the effectiveness of its weapons. Focusing on satellites also shows a shift toward practical rather than political goals, they say.
International observers said the 2016 satellite appeared to be under control, but there is debate over whether it sent any transmissions. "North Korea has traditionally lacked robust strategic situational awareness capabilities, which contribute to its chronic sense of insecurity," said Ankit Panda of the U.S.-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
"North Korea cannot maintain the credibility of its capabilities against Japan, the U.S., and South Korea unless it successfully launches a satellite, so it can’t ignore its scientists,” he said, adding that those circumstances could mean North Korea won’t rush into another launch.
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