Donald Trump leading a crowded field is exactly where things stood when he began picking off primaries on his path to the nomination seven years ago. But this year — even this early — there are two important differences, writes Philip Bump in Analysis.
early, though, and we can already get a sense of where things are headed. Trump is, in fact, in the lead, trailed by an increasingly large coterie of opponents.
By the end, Trump had two opponents who had a large portion of the support of Republican voters — but it didn’t matter, since those opponents hadn’t won nearly enough delegates to compete for the nomination at the convention. The push from Republicans opposed to Trump for the eventual nominee to face only one clear alternative was unsuccessful, killed at the hands of the ambitions of Republicans who all wanted to be that alternative.On Feb.
Then there’s the other difference: Trump is way ahead of everyone else. He was doubling up Cruz on Feb. 1, 2016. But he’sthan doubling DeSantis now. DeSantis says he’s the only guy who can beat Trump, but that, too, should inspire some chuckles among anyone looking solely at polling.
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