Analysis: The subtle, vital effects of letting Louisiana’s congressional map stand
Coming into this year’s election, the Democratic majority in the House is among the narrowest in history. A flip of six seats and the Republicans take control of the chamber, something that seems likely to happen given historical trends and polling, including President Biden’s abysmal approval. This decision to maintain the map disadvantaging Black Louisianans in essence means the Republican job is one seat easier.
You can see that thin ribbon connecting the two segments of the district below. A bit of blue, surrounded by the R+23 Sixth District. The effect is to push most Black Louisianans into districts that will almost certainly be won by Republicans — despite Black Louisianans being heavily Democratic. Using data from the firm L2, which models the likely race of voters in the state, we can see how lopsided the effect of the new map is on Blacks.
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