Analysis: The Democratic Party was more racially diverse in 1996 than the Republican Party is today
Subtlety is not something for which politicians are known, much less political parties, so it was not particularly surprising to see the Democratic convention kick off on Monday with a deliberate, unmissable emphasis on diversity. The event began with a choir from around the country singing the national anthem — a choir made up of children and adults covering the breadth of America’s racial and ethnic diaspora.
Notice one key point: the Republican Party as currently constituted is more densely White than the Democratic Party was a quarter of a century ago. The horizontal dotted line allows for comparison between the two data points. You’ll notice that, after Whites were about evenly split between the parties in 2007, White Americans are 11 points more likely to identify as Republican or Republican-leaning independent.That masks another shift that manifested in 2016: the evolution of political views among Whites depending on education.
Since 2016 — since Trump, probably — college-educated Whites have become more likely to identify as Democrats. In 2016, they were 4 points more likely to identify as Democratic; now, the gap is 12 points.. Overall, women are about as heavily Democratic as they were in 2016, though, at the risk of cherry-picking, women are 6 points more likely to identify as Democratic on net than they were in 2015.
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