Analysis: Sudan risks long conflict as entrenched rivals struggle for control

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Analysis: Sudan risks long conflict as entrenched rivals struggle for control
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Sudan's warring factions are locked in a conflict that two weeks of fighting shows neither can easily win, raising the spectre of a drawn-out war between an agile paramilitary force and the better-equipped army that could destabilise a fragile region.

: a series of ceasefires brokered by the United States and others have been undermined by shelling and air strikes in Khartoum and conflict elsewhere, including the Darfur region in the west.on Saturday he saw signs of more openness to negotiations, but renewed fighting was heard in the capital.

An aide to Burhan, asked the same questions, referred Reuters to Burhan's remarks to U.S based al-Hurra TV this week, where he said he cannot sit down with "the leader of the rebellion", a reference to Hemedti.where stability may be jolted by conflict in a country with a history of civil strife, including the decades-long war that ended with southern secession in 2011.

Many civilians have fled the capital for safer areas. Residents have described a rapid breakdown as gangs and looters maraud in empty streets, neighbourhoods are rocked by air strikes and shelling, and food and fuel run low. Underlining the difficult outlook for peacemaking, mediators aimed at getting a ceasefire in place and to "stabilise the situation in that way, rather than going for some kind of big bang peace deal", the Western diplomat said.

"You have the RSF as a much more mobile force - very battle hardened using guerrilla tactics in urban areas - while the Sudanese armed forces have air power, tanks and better logistics," he said. Sudanese who have struggled for civilian rule worry the clock is being turned back, and that the mayhem may allow the military to entrench its grip on power alongside a comeback by members of Bashir's administration.

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