As the dust settles after the ANC’s National Policy Conference, a series of developments away from the ruling party may be setting rules for what could become the leading coalitions of future South Africa. While nothing is yet certain, there are signs ...
The future alignments may bring parties with radically different agendas to attempt to work together. One of the key questions will be whether the partners’ diametrically opposed agendas could lose them support from their core constituencies.
Meanwhile, in Nelson Mandela Bay , the DA has finally been able to create what it calls a “coalition” of seven parties willing to work together to unseat an ANC-led coalition there. In this case, the potential for discord is massive; it is easy to imagine the previously mentioned FF+ and the PAC having very different priorities and wanting to use council resources in very different ways.
Up until now, several parties have clearly feared doing this, expecting that there would be an electoral cost. However, if this coalition is somehow able to take power in NMB and is then able to govern, opposition leaders may hope this provides a blueprint for what could happen in some provinces or even in the national government in 2024. They would hope this provides people with a way to combine parties with very different ideologies from the extremes of the political spectrum, to remove a political party which is in the middle of that spectrum and resented by everyone.
And yet, on current trends, it is still likely that the biggest opposition parties after the 2024 polls will be the DA and the EFF,That said, the attitude of individual party leaders may provide clues to their analysis of the situation.Cope leader Mosiuoa Lekota has always said there should be a coalition. This may also have been about his own interests as he was worried that his party was not gaining support, and thus the way to change the game was to form a coalition.
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