Analysis: Picks, props and best bets for Super Bowl 57
when combining the regular season and playoffs while adjusting for strength of schedule, per Football Outsiders, with the best pass defense in the league. The Eagles were especially adept at minimizing contributions from their opponents’ top two wide receivers, holding them toreceiving yards per game, respectively, according to Football Outsiders. Tight ends managed 47.1 receiving yards per game against the Eagles, with just three touchdown catches, including the playoffs.
Just how low of a total could we see? My projections, based on adjusting each team’s scoring rates for opposition faced in the regular season and playoffs, give this game a 50-50 chance to finish below 46 points, so it might be worth seeking an alternate total at more favorable odds. This series will examine the impact of legalized gambling on sports, through news coverage, accountability journalism and advice for navigating this new landscape.
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