Analysis: The Eagles are big favorites against Washington on Monday night, but there are plenty of other intriguing angles in this matchup.
in Week 7, and after accounting for that switch, it might be tempting put money down on Washington keeping this game within 11 points, the current point spread. I’d still avoid it. Washington, while improved, has been thein the league this season per Football Outsiders, after adjusting for strength of schedule, while Philadelphia is No. 1. The game charters at Pro Football Focus more or less see it the same way, with the Commanders at No. 22 and Eagles at No. 1.
The Eagles have done their most damage in the second quarter, leaving the first frame more of a toss-up thus far. Just twice this season have they outscored opponents by seven points in the first quarter; two other times they have found themselves trailing by a touchdown or two. Otherwise, it’s been 0-0 or 7-7 at the end of the first quarter.Philadelphia’s tight end is averaging six targets, five catches and 65 yards per game.
In the first half of the Steelers game, with Davis still mostly around, Pittsburgh ballcarriers had 12 rushes for 51 yards, an average of 4.3 yards per attempt. But with Davis sidelined in the second half, the Steelers had the same number of carries but averaged 7.8 yards per attempt. In Week 9, Texans rookie running back Dameon Pierce had 27 carries for 139 yards against Philadelphia, an average of 5.1 yards per attempt. The Eagles likely knew going into the game that Houston’s offense would be one-dimensional, considering its issues at wide receiver and its below-average passer in Davis Mills, but Pierce still ran right through them.
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