Analysis: Some Republicans would consider a Trump primary challenger. But a new poll shows a low ceiling.
By Aaron Blake Aaron Blake Senior political reporter, writing for The Fix Email Bio Follow March 11 at 2:37 PM Any Republican who challenges Donald Trump in the 2020 primaries will be taking a leap of faith against a president who remains popular with his party. They will be wagering that either Trump will implode because of the Russia investigations or some other reason, or his weak standing with all voters will suddenly convince Republicans to seek an alternative.
In other words, even if those candidates win over every voter who is open to them, Trump still leads Weld 54 to 38 and leads Hogan 55 to 37. But wanting a primary contest is a very low bar. People like options! Back in 2010 and 2011, Pew polling showed that 32 percent to 38 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents wanted a primary challenger for Barack Obama — close to the same numbers as Trump today. This number peaked at 66 percent for Bill Clinton in late 1994 — just after Republicans took over Congress.
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