Analysis: The Florida governor’s efforts to assure his supporters keep taking body blows, Philip Bump writes.
to vote and, therefore, are likely to help shape the field as candidates are winnowed out. In each state, Trump leads the next-closest candidate by at least 30 percentage points. In each state, DeSantis is in a statistical tie for that second-place position. In Iowa, he gets 16 percent of support compared with 11 percent for Sen. Tim Scott . In South Carolina, he gets 13 percent vs. 14 percent for the state’s former governor, Nikki Haley.
There are interesting divides within the results. College-educated voters give Trump smaller advantages while those without a college degree and those who identify themselves as “very conservative” give Trump wider margins. That too isn’t great for DeSantis, who has staked a lot on being the candidate for the fringe right.
In both states, voters say that beating President Biden is more important than that the candidate shares their views on issues. On social issues, though, he’s statistically tied with DeSantis in Iowa. But only 1 in 8 likely voters says that’s their most important issue, compared with more than 4 in 10 who identify economic issues. And those who say that the economy is their most important issue are about three times as likely to back Trump.
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