An influential model cited by the White House predicts that coronavirus deaths will come to a halt this summer, with zero deaths projected in the United States after June 21. But experts say that's unlikely -- if not impossible.
An influential model cited by the White House predicts that coronavirus deaths will come to a halt this summer, with zero deaths projected in the United States after June 21.
Not a single person will die in the ensuing month and a half, according to the model, which makes predictions until August. But experts say that's unlikely -- if not impossible. According to Dr. Christopher Murray, director of the institute that built the model,"the underlying assumption is that something will be put in place -- I don't think it's social distancing -- that will reduce the risk to essentially zero resurgence.
But Murray said"the way we've been, or I've been, thinking about this is that nobody's going to want to have a second wave."That means"we will find some sort of policies that are going to be grounded on testing, contact tracing and quarantine and border control -- those four components to mitigate the risk of a second wave," he said.
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