Two more Kentucky Derby prep races are on the menu this Saturday in the South with the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park and the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park.
The Florida Derby will see Forte, the likely Kentucky Derby favorite, look to win his second three-year-old start in as many starts against 11 rivals. A win will all but solidify him as the odds-on choice for the Kentucky Derby, but it won’t be easy.
On paper, no one else in the field comes close to Forte in terms of talent. The closest are Cyclone Mischief, who was well beaten by Forte while third in the Fountain of Youth Stakes; Fort Bragg, an intriguing California runner looking to clinch a spot in the Kentucky Derby; and Dubyuhnell, winner of last December’s Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct who laid an egg in his only other start since then, the Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in February.
Forte’s task in the Florida Derby will be a test of his talent and mettle, but the overall soft field means he should be able to pass it even with an outside trip; anything worse than a second-place effort from him would be concerning. Meanwhile, the Arkansas Derby is shaping up to be Reincarnate’s race to lose. A tough-luck third-place finisher in the Rebel Stakes last out, he demonstrated he has tactical speed; traditionally a front-runner, he broke slowly on the wet track but weaved his way from the back of the field under jockey John Velazquez to hit the board.
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