Final Four picks, odds, and predictions for Alabama Crimson Tide vs UConn Huskies. March Madness picks, including best bet and SGP.
The second Final Four matchup pits the defending champs UConn against a high-octane attack in Alabama. Our March Madness picks believe an uptempo style of play will suit the Huskies just fine as they eclipse their team total.
Connecticut isn’t known for its pace but has no qualms about adopting a faster style against opponents that want to get out and run – especially those like Alabama, who aim to out-score not out-defend. Connecticut scored 84 points against New Hampshire in non-conference play, staying below the closing team total of 91.5 O/U thanks to a 4-for-28 game from 3-point range. But it did surpass the team total of 78.5 O/U against North Carolina with an 87-point performance against a defense ranked No. 8 in the country.
Game models forecast between 84.5 and 86 points from UConn versus Alabama, which I believe is selling the No. 1 team in offensive efficiency short and giving too much credit to a bad Bama defense. Following the completion of the Elite Eight, oddsmakers opened UConn as short as -10.5 for this Final Four matchup with Alabama. It didn’t take long for Huskies action to push that spread as high as -12.5 at some books before the market settled in at Connecticut -11.5.
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