ChatGPT spells the end of coding as we know it
, its ChatGPT competitor. Given the tech industry's rush to deploy AI, it's not hard to envision a near future in which we'll need half as many engineers as we have today — or, down the line, one-tenth or one-hundredth . For better or worse, the rise of AI effectively marks the end of coding as we know it.
So maybe, long term, human coders will survive in some new, as-yet-to-be-determined role. But even in the best-case scenario, the optimists concede, the transition will be painful."It is going to be the case that some people's lives are upended by this," Tatlock says."This happens with every technological change." Some coders will inevitably be displaced, unable to adapt to the new way of doing things.
But the greatest glitch in the"it'll be OK" scenario is something the optimists themselves admit: It's predicated on the assumption that generative AI will keep serving as ato human labor, not as an outright replacement. When ATMs came along, bank tellers were able to adapt because there were still things they could do better than the machines.
Mollick adds that he's watched people try ChatGPT for a minute, find themselves underwhelmed by its abilities, and then move on, comforted by their superiority over AI. But he thinks that's dangerously shortsighted, given how quickly the technology is improving. When ChatGPT, powered by the 3.5 model of GPT,, for instance, it scored in the 10th percentile. But less than a year later, when GPT 4 took the test, it scored in the 90th percentile.
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