Hurricane warnings are in effect in Mexico’s Oaxaca state, where a rapidly strengthening Hurricane Agatha is expected to make landfall Monday near the town of Mazunte.
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There’s also a chance that the intensifying storm could become problematic in the Gulf of Mexico. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami estimate a 30 percent chance of eventual redevelopment.Agatha became a hurricane at 8 a.m. Eastern time Sunday. A hurricane warning is in effect between Salina Cruz and Lagunas de Chacahua, Mexico, with hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings spanning stretches of the coastline on either side.
The Hurricane Center is forecasting that the storm will make landfall Monday night with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph — or as a high-end Category 2 hurricane. The most intense winds will affect a small region of the coastline east of the center when the storm comes ashore, where severe damage is possible.Tropical-storm-force winds, capable of causing more minor damage, could begin along the coast in the hurricane warning zone late Sunday or early Monday.
More concerning for areas inland, particularly in the higher terrain, will be heavy rainfall. A widespread 10 to 16 inches of rain is forecast for Oaxaca, with localized amounts to 20 inches in the high terrain. That could trigger mudslides and flash flooding, potentially isolating more rural communities. A general 5 to 10 inches with a few 15-inch totals is probable in the state of Chiapas.
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