Analysis - The DRC, its neighbours, the AU and international community have failed to translate military victory into political success.
, the M23 rebel movement is resurfacing in eastern DRC. This shows the inability of the DRC, its neighbouring countries, the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the African Union to translate military victory into political success.political consultations with military action in eastern DRC.
The troubled region is on the agenda of the Peace and Security Council's heads of state meeting on the margins of this month's AU summit. This is mostly a reaction to the fact that the M23 now occupies a significant part of North Kivu. presented by the UN Group of Experts on the DRC in their December 2022 report, alleging support by Rwanda and Uganda for the M23 rebels.Also, if countries are supporting rebels, that suggests regional security instruments aren't creating enough space for dialogue, which would prevent states from using proxy armed groups. Differences in threat perceptions between Kigali and Kinshasa create security dilemmas in the eastern DRC.
Despite several regional initiatives, the 2013 Peace, Security and Cooperation Framework for the DRC and the Region remains central to resolving the crisis. But the PSC hascalled for a review of the framework, as requested by the DRC. Is this the best way to build consensus in a highly polarised region? If agreement is reached on a review, three issues must be considered: balancing national and regional commitments, managing bilateral alliances, and the crucial role of guarantors.
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