As South Africans brace for what is set to be a bitter winter, interim Eskom chief executive Calib Cassim has confirmed that the utility will have 3 080 fewer megawatts of capacity than it did last year.
If the interventions planned to carry Eskom through the winter do not achieve the desired results — and unplanned outages exceed expectations — then the likelihood of stage eight load-shedding during demand peaks “is extremely high”, Cassim said. The utility’s winter plan has factored in 15 000 megawatts of unplanned loss factor.
Segomoco Scheppers, Eskom’s chief executive for transmission, said: “As has been indicated, and I think is now common cause, this is going to be a very, very tight winter in terms of supply and demand balance.” According to Scheppers, depending on demand and plant performance, the country may endure up to stage eight load-shedding. But, in Eskom’s base case load-shedding will reach between stage three and stage five from now to the end of August.
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