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, Gallant and his colleagues predicted the chances of antitrust lawsuits from federal or state enforcers depending on the outcome of the 2020 presidential election. What they found was:
Prior to the election, Google faced a 75% chance of antitrust action, Facebook had a 60% chance, Amazon and Apple, 40%. Under a second term of Donald Trump's presidency, they estimated a 65% chance of a lawsuit against Google, 40% chance against Facebook and 30% chance against Amazon or Apple. Assuming a win by Sens. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., or Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., , Google and Facebook would face a 75% chance of a lawsuit and Amazon and Apple would face a 65% chance.
A win by any other Democrat, including former Vice President and current Democratic nominee Joe Biden, would represent a 75% chance of a lawsuit against Google, 60% chance for Facebook, 40% chance for Amazon and 35% chance for Apple.
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