Support for the Indigenous Voice has fallen below a majority on the Yes or No question that will decide the referendum, dropping from 53 to 49 per cent ahead of a crucial Senate decision on the wording of the change to the constitution.
Support for the referendum surrounding the Indigenous Voice to Parliament has fallen to below 50 per cent.
Voters have swung against the proposal for the third month in a row and are backing the No case in three states – Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia – when asked about the federal government’s proposed question. The Resolve survey is the first major poll to show No has a majority and the first to show three states have shifted to the No side.
“The Yes vote has gone from 58 to 49 per cent over three months, so when we combine the survey tracks to break the results down by state it’s actually understating where the No position is now,” said Reed. Support has been stable among Greens voters, with 81 per cent in favour in June, but has fallen among Coalition voters from 30 per cent in April to 27 per cent in May and 26 per cent in the latest survey. This means 74 per cent of Coalition voters are now on the No side.
While the national figures reported here come from the survey work last week, the state-by-state results are drawn from two surveys in May and June in order to gain a higher sample size for the major states. The questions were identical in the two surveys.
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‘A tipping point’: Support for Voice falls below a majorityA new survey shows that support for the Yes case in the upcoming Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum has fallen below 50 per cent.
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‘A tipping point’: Support for Voice falls below a majorityA new survey shows that support for the Yes case in the upcoming Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum has fallen below 50 per cent.
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