Republicans have reason to believe the election odds are in Donald Trump’s favor.
. Though polling averages have the two candidates tied in the key battlegrounds, there are signals that Republicans are seizing on as evidence that he could pull off a return to the White House despite many believing that he was in the wilderness for much of the last four years. Here are seven.Polling averages show Trump and Harris virtually tied in every battleground state—but that may be good news for the three-time Republican presidential candidate.
says while the race is 50-50, his “gut” tells him Trump will win. The reason for the polling errors in the past two elections, Silver argues, didn’t have much to do with voters being embarrassed to admit they like Trump. Instead, the problem was “nonresponse bias,” meaning pollsters had trouble reaching the kind of people who tend to vote for Trump.In online betting markets, Trump has pulled ahead significantly.
Demonstrators in El Paso during a visit by Vice President Kamala Harris near the U.S.-Mexico border on June 25, 2021.. Since the pandemic, high inflation has been top-of-mind. Americans aren’t thinking about macro trends; they’re having sticker shock when paying for necessities, like groceries and housing, and they want something to change. Recognizing the vulnerability, Harris has closed the gap in polling on the issue.
Kamala-Harris Elon-Musk Jd-Vance 2024-Presidential-Election Joe-Rogan
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