Betting picks for the 2026 Western Conference Finals break down why the San Antonio Spurs have value against the Oklahoma City Thunder in this series.
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It features the two best teams in the Association, with the reigning champion, ending the Phoenix Suns' and Los Angeles Lakers' seasons. Thunder All-Star wing Jalen Williams returns from a six-game injury hiatus for this series. Geoff Clark's best bet for the San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 in the 2026 Western Conference Finals Monday, May 18.
The Spurs have lost only three times so far this postseason, but they didn't have Victor Wembanyama in two of those losses. It took San Antonio five games to eliminate the Portland Trail Blazers in the first round and six to get past the Minnesota Timberwolves in the conference semifinals.in their first season as a title contender, or if Shai and OKC's championship core and continuity are too much to overcome. By"discuss," of course, I mean make some bets.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander drives to the basket on the San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center in Texas. As you can see in my blurb for OutKick's newsletter above, San Antonio owned OKC in the regular season and NBA Cup. You can't pooh-pooh those results either because the Thunder had Shai, Williams and big Chet Holmgren for three of their four losses to the Spurs this season.
Also, San Antonio has been essentially unbeatable with Wembanyama on the floor. According to The Ringer's Zach Lowe on"The Bill Simmons Podcast," the Spurs are 37-3 whenSan Antonio's size is the main reason it has betting value in this series. Spurs wings Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie can defend Gilgeous-Alexander on the perimeter and it's harder for him to operate in the mid-range with WembanyamaThink about it: Shai drives into the paint, uses his off-arm to get a makeable look.
But San Antonio's wings are long and athletic enough to contest those shots and he is driving intoThunder All-Star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gets trapped by San Antonio Spurs big Victor Wembanyama and wing Stephon Castle at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Furthermore, the Spurs negate two of Oklahoma City's strengths: Getting to the foul line and forcing turnovers. San Antonio led the NBA in defensive FT/FGA rate during the regular season and ranked fifth in offensive turnover rate.
We are getting a great price on the Spurs in this series because they don't have playoff experience. Yet, that doesn't matter since San Antonio put the right pieces around the best basketball player ever and matches up perfectly with OKC. For the record, the way I'm betting the Western Conference Finals is to risk three-fourths of my bet on the Spurs +1.5 series games and the other quarter-unit on San Antonio to win the series .
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