2024 NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Back underdog Chiefs to cover

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2024 NFL Week 11 picks, predictions: Back underdog Chiefs to cover
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Geoff Schwartz is back with his best bets for NFL Week 11. Find out why he's backing the underdog Chiefs to cover at Buffalo and why he's fading Cincy against L.A.

Are the Chiefs that good or are they that lucky? That's one question that almost every NFL fan is asking right now. Well, the jury might still be out. However, considering they're still undefeated 10 weeks into the season, it's hard to bet against them. Keep reading to find out how I'm wagering on Kansas City, along with a couple other of my best bets for this weekend's slate. SUNDAY, NOV.

Browns to lose by fewer than 1 point, or win outright Chiefs @ Bills The oddsmakers have done it again: They’ve made Patrick Mahomes and his Chiefs underdogs. With that, the books have given the Chiefs an extra morsel of motivation for this weekend. Mahomes has been an underdog 14 times. He’s won 11 of those games and covered twelve. I don’t wager solely based on trends, but when I can explain the trend, I feel more comfortable using it as part of my handicap.

Chiefs to lose by fewer than 2.5 points, or win outright Bengals @ Chargers The Bengals have four wins this season. They’ve beaten the Raiders, Browns, Giants and Panthers. There are nine combined wins between those four teams. Cincinnati has six losses and all six losses are against teams that have winning records. While it’s not as simple as 'Bengals beat bad teams but always lose to the good teams,' it’s a good starting point to discuss this game.

Chargers to win by more than 1.5 points Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started at right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.

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