Eric Moody breaks down his top betting picks for Sunday's NBA slate.
This is it. Last day of the season. Every team has played 81 games, and all 30 teams will play their 82nd game today. The most amazing part, is, there are still a whopping 15 of the 20 playoffs/play-in spots up for grabs. There are three teams tied atop the Western Conference going into the last day, the first time in NBA history that has happened. The only playoffs seeds set in stone are the Celtics atop the East and the Clippers and Mavericks at the four and five spot.
This breaks down nicely for betting purposes. Exactly half of the teams still have a lot to play for to determine their postseason seeding, while the other half are effectively done already. The sportsbooks know this, too, so there are some really big spreads on the board today. For the last time this regular season, let's dig in and find some opportunities for teams or players to outperform expectation.This is one of the games where both teams have postseason incentive to perform.
If the Nuggets play their starters and try to win, they should cover. But therein lies the rub: almost the entire Nuggets rotation is listed as"Game Time Decisions" for Sunday. This includes. While the Nuggets are technically still alive for the one seed, the tiebreakers make it very unlikely they achieve it. Plus, as the defending champs, the Nuggets may feel less need to push for the top seed than the Thunder or the Timberwolves.
Lillard is expected to return to the Bucks' lineup on Sunday for a game against the Magic, and the Bucks could still finish anywhere from the second seed to the fourth seed. The team needs a win and is out. This typically means Dame Time, but in Giannis' absences Lillard has upped his distribution as much as his scoring. In the last four games Lillard has played in with Giannis out, he has 37 total assists with at least six assists in each game.
Though the Warriors are technically still alive for the eighth seed, it is relatively unlikely they could get it. More importantly, head coach Steve Kerr said on Friday he would rest several starters in today's finale... and each ofare listed as game-time decisions. While a full strength Warriors team would've been expected to blow the depleted Jazz out, if the Warriors sit their guys the Jazz might even be favored by opening tip.
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