Congratulations to the San Antonio Spurs, as they drafted arguably the highest-graded and highly anticipated prospect in NBA history, Victor Wembanyama, on Thursday. I'm not ready to go to the length of Woj anointing him 'maybe the greatest prospect in the history of team sports,' but even so, onlookers, analysts, players and the basketball world at large recognize he has the tools to become a generational talent.
I excluded a slew of other players who didn't perform well in their rookie seasons, but only one player over the past 20 years finished in the top 12 in per-game value as a first-overall pick: Karl-Anthony Towns. There's undoubtedly a lot of pressure and expectation that comes with being the No. 1 pick; the landing spot, situation and role within the system all play into a player's success.
Based on Wemby's physical attributes, skill set and production , I think a reasonable expectation is a top-40 player — meaning he should be drafted within the first three rounds of fantasy in '23-24. I'm placing him not as high as KAT or AD but more into the Ayton territory in terms of performance in Year 1. His upside in blocks should make up for his efficiency drop.
But, given the hype train, you'll likely have to go within the first two rounds to grab the highly-touted French prospect. With San Antonio's rich history of developing domestic and international talent, basketball enthusiasts should be excited for Wemby's future in this league. The Spurs are currently without franchise-altering options on their roster, making Wemby's potential destination for fantasy much sweeter.
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