Republicans are gaining ground in the closing weeks of the 2022 midterm campaign, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll — and their renewed focus on crime seems to be helping them overtake Democrats in the race for control of Congress.
Yet according to the new Yahoo News/YouGov poll, large majorities of Americans currently believe that crime is increasing in the U.S. and that violent crime is higher now than it was in the 1990s . A similar majority say they are either very or somewhat worried about a “breakdown of law and order in American cities.”● The belief that violent crime is increasing in respondents’ communities is up 10 points since July 2021 among Republicans , and up 9 points among independents .
● And the belief that law enforcement is “not tough enough on most offenders” is up 11 points since July 2021 among Republicans , and up 14 points among independents. As a result, crime appears to be doing for Republicans what abortion has been doing for Democrats — motivating the base and serving as a wedge issue with some swing voters.
Case in point: a series of questions asking respondents how they feel — “angry,” “dissatisfied,” “satisfied” or “enthusiastic” — about several recent political developments. A full 62% of Americans say they are either angry or dissatisfied about “the way crime is being handled in big cities.” That’s a higher share than say the same about anything else, including “efforts to overturn the election” and “Joe Biden’s response to inflation” .
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