2020 Vision: Why Kamala Harris is struggling in the polls by AndrewRomano
Welcome to 2020 Vision, the Yahoo News column covering the presidential race with one smart, fast takeaway every weekday and a deeper roundup every weekend. Reminder: There are 137 days until the Iowa caucuses and 411 days until the 2020 election.Pundits have been speculating about the state of the California senator’s campaign ever since one of her staffers accidentally left an internal briefing memo that included the phrase “summer slump” at a Manchester, N.H., restaurant earlier this month.
The second poll, commissioned by Focus on Rural America and conducted by Harris’s own chief pollster, took the temperature of Democratic primary voters in Iowa. It showed an even bigger decline for Harris than the new national poll: a loss of 13 percentage points between July and September. In that poll, Harris now ranks sixth there, behind Amy Klobuchar.
If Harris’s loss of altitude is really accelerating — and only additional polling can say for sure — the $64,000 question is why. The pundits’ advice, as summarized by Leonhardt, is to come up with a better message, to “develop a clearer theory of her campaign’s case.” In the first round of debates, Harris’s moment-making politics paid off. But subsequent developments, including walk-backs on busing and health care, showed that moments are a shaky foundation to build a presidential campaign on.
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