President Trump has slipped in many of the key swing states he won in 2016—like Michigan, which currently appears to lean toward Joe Biden, an NPR analysis finds. But November is still 5 months away, and Biden is short of solidifying 270 electoral votes.
President Trump is in a political hole and has a lot of ground to make up over the next five months if he hopes to win another term, an NPR analysis of the Electoral College map finds.
Viewed another way: About 45% of the U.S. population lives in the lean and toss up states that will determine the presidential election, and less than a quarter of Americans live in the most competitive toss up states. Put another way: Trump needs to win 73% of the toss ups to win reelection. That's not impossible. Trump ran the board in these states in 2016, winning 91% of their electoral votes and losing two of these states, Nevada and New Hampshire.
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